Sunak’s worklessness crackdown will not reduce benefits bill, forecasts show

Britain will still be paying a record £30bn-a-year in benefits to people who do not have to find a job even after Rishi Sunak’s welfare overhaul, official forecasts show. The amount of incapacity benefits paid to people who do not have to look for employment is expected to rise from around £29bn to up to £31bn in real terms by the end of the decade, driven in part by people claiming for mental health conditions. Projections by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) show payments will continue to rise despite stricter fit-for-work tests and more jobseeker support announced last autumn to get more people into employment. Almost 3.9 million people currently receive out-of-work benefits without having to even look for a job. This is twice as many as the number of claimants who must try to find work and follows a surge in claims of mental health issues and joint pain during lockdown. A projected surge in the working age benefits bill has caused alarm in Downing Street as economic inactivity due to ill health continues to rise to new highs. Mr Sunak has highlighted that taxpayers are currently footing a £69bn-a-year bill for people of working age with...

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